世界银行-通过综合建模加强流行病防范和应对（英）.pdf

StrengtheningpandemicpreparednessandresponsethroughintegratedmodellingPublicDisclosureAuthorizedPublicDisclosureAuthorizedPublicDisclosureAuthorizedPublicDisclosureAuthorizedStrengtheningpandemicpreparednessandresponsethroughintegratedmodellingStrengtheningpandemicpreparednessandresponsethroughintegratedmodellingISBN(WHO)978-92-4-009088-0(electronicversion)ISBN(WHO)978-92-4-009089-7(printversion)ISBN(OECD)978-92-6-433273-7(electronicversion)©WorldHealthOrganization,OrganisationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopmentandInternationalBankforReconstructionandDevelopment/TheWorldBank,2024Somerightsreserved.ThisworkisavailableundertheCreativeCommonsAttribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike3.0IGOlicence(CCBY-NC-SA3.0IGO;https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/3.0/igo).Underthetermsofthislicence,youmaycopy,redistributeandadapttheworkfornon-commercialpurposes,providedtheworkisappropriatelycited,asindicatedbelow.Inanyuseofthiswork,thereshouldbenosuggestionthattheWorldHealthOrganization(WHO),theOrganisationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment(OECD)and/ortheInternationalBankforReconstructionandDevelopment/TheWorldBank(TheWorldBank)endorsesanyspecificorganization,productsorservices.TheuseoftheWHO,OECD,orTheWorldBanklogoisnotpermitted.Ifyouadaptthework,thenyoumustlicenseyourworkunderthesameorequivalentCreativeCommonslicence.Ifyoucreateatranslationofthiswork,youshouldaddthefollowingdisclaimeralongwiththesuggestedcitation:“ThistranslationwasnotcreatedbytheWorldHealthOrganization,(WHO),theOrganisationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment(OECD)and/ortheInternationalBankforReconstructionandDevelopment/TheWorldBank(TheWorldBank).WHO,OECDandTheWorldBankarenotresponsibleforthecontentoraccuracyofthistranslation.TheoriginalEnglisheditionshallbethebindingandauthenticedition”.AnymediationrelatingtodisputesarisingunderthelicenceshallbeconductedinaccordancewiththemediationrulesoftheWorldIntellectualPropertyOrganization(http://www.wipo.int/amc/en/mediation/rules).Suggestedcitation.Strengtheningpandemicpreparednessandresponsethroughintegratedmodelling.Geneva:WorldHealthOrganization,theOrganisationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopmentand/ortheInternationalBankforReconstructionandDevelopment/TheWorldBank;2024.Licence:CCBY-NC-SA3.0IGO.Cataloguing-in-Publication(CIP)data.CIPdataareavailableathttp://apps.who.int/iris.Sales,rightsandlicensing.TopurchaseWHOpublications,seehttps://www.who.int/publications/book-orders.Tosubmitrequestsforcommercialuseandqueriesonrightsandlicensing,seehttp://www.who.int/about/licensing.Third-partymaterials.Ifyouwishtoreusematerialfromthisworkthatisattributedtoathirdparty,suchastables,figuresorimages,itisyourresponsibilitytodeterminewhetherpermissionisneededforthatreuseandtoobtainpermissionfromthecopyrightholder.Theriskofclaimsresultingfrominfringementofanythird-party-ownedcomponentintheworkrestssolelywiththeuser.Generaldisclaimers.FortheOECD,thisworkispublishedundertheresponsibilityoftheSecretary-GeneraloftheOECD.Thefindings,interpretations,conclusionsa