未来能源研究所-为不确定性而设计：加州上限和交易市场修正案（英）.pdf

DesigningforUncertainty:AmendmentstoCalifornia’sCap-and-TradeMarketADesigningforUncertainty:AmendmentstoCalifornia’sCap-and-TradeMarketNicholasRoy,MayaDomeshek,andDallasBurtrawReport24-08May2024ResourcesfortheFutureiAbouttheAuthorsNicholasRoyisaresearchassociateatResourcesfortheFuture(RFF).HejoinedRFFinJune2020toworkontheHaikuelectricitysectorsimulationmodel.UsingHaiku,Nickhasanalyzedanarrayofpoliciesincludingcleanenergytaxcredits,renewableenergystandards,andemissionspricing.Inadditiontoelectricitysectormodeling,Nickalsoemploysvariousresearchmethodstoanalyzefreightregulationandelectrificationinthetransportationsector.PriortojoiningRFF,Roywasa2019summerinternforArtFraasinvestigatingenergyefficiencydeviceusageamongheavydutytrucks.Betweenthetwopositions,heresearchedportdrayagedisruptionsattheCenterforInternationalTradeandTransportation.HegraduatedfromCaliforniaStateUniversityLongBeachwithaBAineconomics,aBSinappliedmathematics,andaminorinphilosophy.MayaDomeshekisaresearchassociateatRFF.Herresearchfocusesondecarbonizingtheelectricitysectorandthedistributionaleffectsofenvironmentalpolicy.SheworkswithRFF’sHaikuelectricitysectormodelandtheSocialWelfareIncidenceModel.Previously,shehasstudiedstatelevelelectricitydecarbonizationpolicyinVirginiaandPennsylvania,theimpactoftheInflationReductionAct,andgreenhousegasregulationsundertheCleanAirAct.DallasBurtrawistheDariusGaskinsSeniorFellowatRFF.Hehasworkedtopromoteefficientcontrolofairpollutionandwrittenextensivelyonelectricityindustryregulationandenvironmentaloutcomes.Burtraw’scurrentresearchincludesanalysisofthedistributionalandregionalconsequencesofclimatepolicy,theevolutionofelectricitymarketsincludingrenewableintegration,andtheinteractionofclimatepolicywithelectricitymarkets.HehasprovidedtechnicalsupportinthedesignofcarbondioxideemissionstradingprogramsintheNortheaststates,California,andtheEuropeanUnion.HealsohasstudiedregulationofnitrogenoxidesandsulfurdioxideundertheCleanAirActandconductedintegratedassessmentofcosts,andmodeledhealthandecosystemeffectsandvaluation,includingecosystemimprovementintheAdirondackParkandthesouthernAppalachianregion.BurtrawcurrentlyservesasChairofCalifornia’sIndependentEmissionsMarketAdvisoryCommittee.BurtrawholdsaPh.D.ineconomicsandamaster’sdegreeinpublicpolicyfromtheUniversityofMichiganandabachelor’sdegreefromtheUniversityofCalifornia,Davis.DesigningforUncertainty:AmendmentstoCalifornia’sCap-and-TradeMarketiiAbouttheProjectThisresearchwassupportedbyResourcesfortheFuture’s(RFF)ElectricPowerProgram.DalllasBurtrawservesontheCaliforniaIndependentMarketAdvisoryCommittee.ThisworkissolelytheworkofRFF.AboutRFFResourcesfortheFuture(RFF)isanindependent,nonprofitresearchinstitutioninWashington,DC.Itsmissionistoimproveenvironmental,energy,andnaturalresourcedecisionsthroughimpartialeconomicresearchandpolicyengagement.RFFiscommittedtobeingthemostwidelytrustedsourceofresearchinsightsandpolicysolutionsleadingtoahealthyenvironmentandathrivingeconomy.Theviewsexpressedherearethoseoftheindividualau