世界银行-UPSNP生计干预对福利和劳动力市场的影响（英）.pdf

PublicDisclosureAuthorizedPublicDisclosureAuthorizedPublicDisclosureAuthorizedPublicDisclosureAuthorizedAcknowledgementsThisreportwaspreparedbyChristinaWieser(SeniorEconomist,PovertyandEquityGlobalPractice,WorldBankGroup);SimonFranklin(SeniorLecturer,SchoolofEconomicsatQueenMaryUniversityofLondon);andWondimagegnMesfinTesfaye(Economist,PovertyandEquityGlobalPractice,WorldBankGroup).ThesurveyforthisstudywasdesignedbySimonFranklinandChristinaWieser.ThedatacollectionwasconductedbyFrontieriConsultiPLC.TheauthorsaregratefultoSuleimanNamara(LeadEconomist,SocialProtectionandJobsGlobalPractice,WorldBankGroup)andAyubaSani(SeniorSocialProtectionSpecialist,SocialProtectionandJobsGlobalPractice,WorldBankGroup)onframingthereportandprovidinginvaluableinput,andtheUrbanProductiveSafetyNetProjectteam(KoenMaaskant,AlfredoBohm,WoutSoer,RomanTesfaye,andBleneAklilu)fortheirfeedbackandsupportthroughouttheprocess.TheteamwouldalsoliketothanktheGovernmentofEthiopiaforimplementingtheUrbanProductiveSafetyNetProject(UPSNP),inparticularBirhanuTeshome(HeadofUrbanFoodSecurityandSafetyNetOffice,MinistryofUrbanDevelopmentandInfrastructure).TheteamalsobenefitedfromguidancefromtheProjectCoordinationUnit(PCU)undertheleadershipofMekonnenYaie(ProjectCoordinator,UPSNPPCU)andwithsupportandcontributionsfromTewodrosAbebe(LivelihoodsSpecialist,UPSNPPCU).DisclaimerThisworkisaproductofthestaffofTheWorldBankwithexternalcontributions.Thefindings,interpretations,andconclusionsexpressedinthisworkdonotnecessarilyreflecttheviewsofTheWorldBank,itsBoardofExecutiveDirectors,orthegovernmentstheyrepresent.TheWorldBankdoesnotguaranteetheaccuracy,completeness,orcurrencyofthedataincludedinthisworkanddoesnotassumeresponsibilityforanyerrors,omissions,ordiscrepanciesintheinformation,orliabilitywithrespecttotheuseoforfailuretousetheinformation,methods,processes,orconclusionssetforth.Theboundaries,colors,denominations,andotherinformationshownonanymapinthisworkdonotimplyanyjudgmentonthepartofTheWorldBankconcerningthelegalstatusofanyterritoryortheendorsementoracceptanceofsuchboundaries.NothinghereinshallconstituteorbeconstruedorconsideredtobealimitationuponorwaiveroftheprivilegesandimmunitiesofTheWorldBank,allofwhicharespecificallyreserved.CaptionUPSNPbeneficiaryengaginginhersheepbreedingbusiness,whichshesetupasherUPSNPlivelihoodsactivityinAdama,Ethiopia.©ChristinaWieser/WorldBankTableofContentsAbstract...41.Background.12.Programdesignandimplementation...33.DataandMethods..64.Livelihoodsparticipationandsuccess...7Livelihoodtraining7Livelihoodmodality.....8Self-employmentpathway8Wageemploymentpathway.14Satisfactionwiththelivelihoodsprogram....165.EmpiricalStrategy.176.Impactestimates...20Householdenterprises....21Householdearningsandincome22Employmenteffects..24Consumptionandassets.247.Conclusion.25References..27Annex....28AbstractImprovingthelivelihoodsofpoorhouseholdsandtransitioningthemtothelaborforceisamajorchallengeinEthiopia.Productivesafetynetsthatincludelivelihoodgrantsandothersupportservicescouldbeapromi